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It is not a good time to seek asylum

THE dog whistle is sounding like a wolf howl.

Julia Gillard is devilishly clever. Her asylum seeker policy is a masterstroke of improvisation. And she's tapping into community hostility to boat people with an empathy driven by Labor's focus groups, while keeping her tone oh-so reasonable, scolding Tony Abbott on the way through. No wonder some refugee advocates initially weren't sure whether to like or hate it.

The core of Gillard's policy is a proposed regional processing centre in East Timor. The ''Dili solution'' is a three-star version of its one-star ''Pacific solution'' cousin: the UNHCR would be involved (it only had a brief role in Nauru), New Zealand would be part of it, and East Timor is a signatory to the UN refugee convention (Nauru isn't).

But the bottom line of the two ''solutions'' is the same: install a deterrent by taking all boat arrivals to another country. Coming from a party that condemned John Howard's approach, Gillard's Dili solution would make a lesser leader blush. But as this election nears, shame is a missing ingredient.

Gillard has spoken this week to all potentially concerned in her regional processing plan, but with East Timor there is no deal, just a willingness to consider (though also some mixed messages). Still, that should be enough to get her to the election. In her speech, she managed simultaneously to put the problem in context (''last year, Australia received 0.6 per cent of the world's asylum seekers'') and show she understood those who blow it out of proportion.

Hard-working Australians wanted to know refugees settled here weren't getting special treatment, she said. ''People like my own [migrant] parents who have worked hard all their lives can't abide the idea that others might get an inside track to special privileges.'' Australians expected ''genuine refugees'' to ''learn the rules under which we live … We will ensure refugees shoulder the same obligations as Australians generally.''

All that should go down a treat in the marginal seats, especially as Gillard has encouraged people to vent their feelings without being constrained by political correctness.

Abbott pre-empted Gillard by rushing out his own new measures. He had already committed himself to a new Pacific solution without naming where it might be set up. The latest initiatives include an appeals process for overturning claims that have been approved, and the refusal of refugee status to those thought to have destroyed their papers.

As he is chased to the right by Gillard, Abbott is desperate to stay looking the more macho. He cannot afford to yield what is strong ground for him. It is not a good time to be an asylum seeker.

The Gillard policy is like her mining deal - a quick fix with a high price tag (East Timor wouldn't come cheap). The difference is that with the miners, the government has given them hard and fast concessions, while we would have to wait until after the election to see whether the regional policy could be delivered. But hey, who is thinking beyond the big day?

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I was extremely impressed by the altruistic behaviour of Julia Gillard and a plethora of Marginal Seat Labor members including a smiling Mr David Bradbury (the current member for Lindsay, who was previously a loyal Rudd supporter) going out to greet the latest boat of 46 (news 7/7/10) who have probably endured the horrific experience of economy flights from Afghanistan or Sri Lanka, unfortunately the news cameras only filmed footage of the beautiful scenery. It could be ascertained that all these persons have seen and taken note of the slogan “You’ll never ever know, if you never ever go"? I have also heard it commented (regularly) that perhaps Penrith may be much better represented in the Commonwealth Parliament, if Mr Bradbury was to stay in the Territory or much more preferable stand as a candidate in the next Afghani or Sri Lankan elections.The real debate should be : Does this ALP REPRESENT THE PEOPLE OF AUSTRALIA?
Posted by Tom Collins, 8/07/2010 6:04:19 AM
Tony Abbott recently proposed o tow the boats back to Indonesia without consulting Indonesia..Indonesia bluntly refused this as well ..At least Julia Gilliard dicussed an option with a Timorese Representive.
Posted by sidney swan, 8/07/2010 8:47:07 PM
Julia Gilliard , must run around making policies on the run before the elections, because after the elections it will be business as usual as she lets in the continual flow of boats come to this country . She is no better than Kevin Rudd , both have hatched out of the same egg.!
Posted by Spotter, 9/07/2010 2:12:23 PM
@sidney swan Yyou obviously read the news events with a slant that suits your beliefs. The East Timor decision was done without consultation to the correct people, in fact they learnt about it the same time as you did. With Nauru already built and the willingness to sign the refugee convention Australia looks at saving multi billions of dollars, but no you want to waste it along with the Ranga just because its her decision! Stop wasting MY money.
Posted by Wallaby, 22/07/2010 2:39:09 PM

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